26 February, 2008

Wait! Statisticians AND Statistics Lie

William Briggs
Generating these spurious models is effortless. I didn’t go through 100s of simulations to find one that looked especially misleading. I did just one simulation. Using this stepwise procedure practically guarantees that you will find a “statistically significant” yet spurious model.
Megan McArdle

This sort of thing is why we're barraged with studies showing that almost everything will kill you--no, wait! they'll make you live forever!

1 comment:

MCC said...

so do I still have to finish my thesis?