04 December, 2007

You're kidding, right?

This is going to be a fascinating story to watch unfold. I know almost nothing about this, but evidently the most recent National Intelligence Estimate claims that Iran mothballed its nuclear development program over 4 years ago. How could we possibly not know this until now?

I'm curious to see what this means for people like Norman Podheretz (a "we must bomb Iran" wack-job) and other neo-conservatives. Surely this will hurt Giuliani, no? There has also been a lot of press about the Democratic candidates and their approach to regimes like Iran. Is this a boost for Obama because of his expressed willingness to engage Iran? Is it a problem for Clinton, who I believe has indicated a willingness to preemptively strike at Iran?

As I said, I have a lot of reading about this to do, but for now I am shell-shocked about what a monumental lack of intelligence this demonstrates. And it suggests the potential for a catastrophic screw-up. Imagine if we had invaded this country because we relied on poor information about a WMD program!

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